Garland, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

479
FXUS64 KFWD 100527
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1227 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025

...New Short Term, Long Term, Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thursday and Friday will be hot and muggy, with afternoon heat
  indices of 100-105 along and east of the I-35 corridor.

- Unsettled weather returns this weekend, with chances (20-40%) of
  thunderstorms each afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Through Friday/

A weak trough aloft responsible for the past few evenings`
convection currently bisects the CWA from northeast to southwest.
This feature will shift slowly east and south over the next few
days while undergoing further weakening. Diurnally driven
convection will likewise shift farther south and east each day,
becoming confined to areas mainly east of I-35 on Thursday and
mostly Louisiana by Friday. North and Central Texas will
subsequently have a day or two of largely rain-free weather and
seasonable temperatures to end the work week, with lows in the 70s
and highs in the lower to mid 90s.

30

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/This Weekend into Next Week/

An unseasonably strong upper trough will sweep across the Plains
Friday night and Saturday, sending a cold front southward through
Oklahoma. The front itself will likely stall somewhere near the
Red River, but thunderstorm outflow will push farther south into
North Texas and become the focus for scattered showers and storms
Saturday afternoon and evening. Convection associated with the
outflow boundary should occur along and north of I-20, but
additional scattered storms are possible across Central Texas
where model guidance is indicating an active seabreeze. Activity
would then dissipate around midnight as instability wanes.

The upper trough will continue east into the Ohio Valley Saturday
night, but another weak positive tilt trough aloft will linger
overhead on Sunday in its wake. Scattered thunderstorms will be a
good possibility as a result, both Sunday and Monday, during the
afternoon and evening hours. The threat for severe weather will be
low due to the absence of deep layer shear, but 50 MPH wind gusts
and heavy rain will be possible in a few of these storms. CLouds,
precipitation and convective outflow will otherwise hold
temperatures a few degrees below normal during the Saturday to
Monday period.

Seasonably hot and drier weather can then be expected Tuesday of
next week as the trough lifts off to the northeast and a ridge
strengthens overhead. An even stronger upper trough and cold front
will then bring additional storm chances to the region, along with
a possible return to below normal temperatures, mid to late next
week.

30

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/

Convection came to an end a little while ago and the system
responsible should be far enough east on Thursday to avoid any
direct airport impacts Thursday afternoon and evening. It also
looks like Thursday morning stratocumulus should remain east of
all TAF sites, though will keep an eye out for the off chance that
all recent guidance is incorrect. Otherwise, south winds of 5 to
10 kt will increase to 15-20 kt Thursday afternoon and remain
fairly breezy Thursday night.

30

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    77  94  77  93  75 /   0   0   0  20  20
Waco                73  91  74  90  75 /   0   0   0  20  10
Paris               75  94  74  94  73 /   5   0   0  20  30
Denton              75  95  75  93  74 /   0   0   0  20  30
McKinney            76  95  76  93  75 /   0   0   0  20  30
Dallas              77  95  77  95  76 /   0   0   0  20  20
Terrell             75  94  74  93  75 /   0   0   0  20  20
Corsicana           75  94  76  94  75 /   0   0   0  20  10
Temple              73  92  74  91  73 /   0   5   0  20  10
Mineral Wells       73  94  74  92  73 /   0   0   0  20  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$