Garland, Texas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

884
FXUS64 KFWD 280801
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
301 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025

...New Long Term...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot conditions will continue through the weekend into
  next week with highs well into the 90s. Afternoon heat indices
  will rise into the lower 100s in many areas each afternoon.

- There is a chance of storms, mainly across North Texas, Monday
  through Wednesday of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1211 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025/
/Today through Sunday/

Seasonably hot and humid weather will dominate North Central Texas
today through Sunday. A very ill-defined surface boundary
stretches along the Red River currently, and it`s not totally out
of the question that a stray shower or isolated thunderstorm could
initiate somewhere within the northern row of North Texas
counties through daybreak. Chances are sufficiently low, however,
to preclude mention in the early morning forecast period. A few
showers and thunderstorms may also form south of a Palestine to
Salado line Sunday afternoon, in response to the inland
penetration of seabreeze convergence from Southeast Texas.

Otherwise, mostly sunny skies will prevail today and Sunday, as a
weak ridge of upper level high pressure remains sprawled across
the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley. Subsidence will
be a bit more pronounced today relative to yesterday, and this
should yield a small increase in daytime temperatures through the
weekend. A secondary contributing factor to our slight warmup may
also be the slow day to day drying of soil and vegetation across
North Central Texas. Heat indices will top out in the 100-104
range at many locations this weekend, approaching the threshold
for heat advisories. Folks engaged in outdoor activities this
weekend should exercise caution to avoid heat related impacts.

Bradshaw

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Next Week/

The main weather feature in the long term will continue to be a
persistent mid level ridge, which will provide seasonably hot days
and warm, humid nights to all of North and Central Texas next
week. That being said, the ridge will contain enough weaknesses
to provide a few days of rain chances, particularly during the
first half of the week when an unseasonably strong shortwave
trough will drop southeast from the Northern Plains to the Ohio
Valley. This brief pattern shift will nudge the stationary front
(currently over Oklahoma) southward across the Red River late
Monday into Tuesday. Very little in the way of a temperature drop
is expected with the front, but low level convergence along the
boundary should be enough to generate isolated to scattered
afternoon and evening thunderstorms.

The best rain chances will be over North Texas nearest the front,
with 10-20 POPs extending south through Central Texas where a few
outflow/seabreeze interactions may occur. Severe weather is
unlikely, but small hail and gusty winds will accompany the
stronger storms. Rain/storm chances should be fairly equal both
Monday and Tuesday, but will decrease and shift east on Wednesday
as the ridge strengthens over Texas and the Southern Plains,
shunting convection into our East Texas counties.

Model guidance now advertises a disturbance along Mexico`s
Pacific coast (perhaps the remnants of a tropical cyclone) lifting
north across Mexico into the Big Country Thursday and Friday.
Despite the strengthening ridge, the subtle weakness aloft
generated by this disturbance warrants "slight chance" POPs both
Thursday and Friday, as isolated thunderstorms will again be
possible. Though most folks should remain rain-free for Friday the
4th, that 10-20% chance precludes the "all clear" message for
Friday`s outdoor events at this time.

30

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1211 AM CDT Sat Jun 28 2025/
/06z TAFs/

VFR conditions should prevail at all DFW-area TAF sites through
Sunday morning, as a broad ridge of upper level high pressure
persists across the Southern Plains states. A very diffuse surface
boundary near the Red River early this morning may be the focus
for isolated convection north of D10 prior to 14z, but the
probability of occurrence is low. Elsewhere, patches of stratus
will likely develop across Central Texas during the pre-dawn
hours, and a brief period of MVFR ceilings may occur at Waco
between 11z and 15z.

Southerly low level flow will persist at all TAF sites through 12z
Sunday. Speeds will average 08-13 knots from 15z to 00z today.

Bradshaw

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    95  77  96  78  95 /   0   0   0   0  20
Waco                94  74  94  75  94 /   0   0   5   0  20
Paris               92  74  92  75  93 /   5   5   5   0  30
Denton              96  76  97  76  96 /   5   5   0   0  30
McKinney            94  76  95  77  95 /   5   0   0   0  20
Dallas              96  78  97  78  98 /   0   0   0   0  20
Terrell             93  74  94  75  95 /   0   0   0   0  20
Corsicana           94  76  94  76  95 /   0   0   5   0  20
Temple              95  74  95  74  95 /   0   0   5   0  20
Mineral Wells       96  75  97  75  97 /   5   5   0   5  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$